Tuesday, January 08, 2008

Upset?

I write this at 9:24 PM, EST, and at this moment, with 40% reporting, Hillary Clinton is ahead of Barack Obama by 2619 votes, about 3%. Are we about to witness a massive comeback?

Maybe. But I don't think so. The two counties that have the most precincts reporting are Clinton backers. The other counties, which are skewed towards Obama are trickling in. Furthermore, I've been tracking the difference between the two candidates over the past 45 minutes, and here are the differences, as shown on MSNBC:

3326
3237
3212
3091
3025
2841
2916
2972
2619
2689

and just now...2331.

Whatever happens, it looks like my ten point blowout prediction will be off the mark.

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