Tuesday, November 04, 2008

Liveblogging

8:38: NBC calls Georgia for McCain. Too bad, but not too surprising. I'll still be interested to see the final tally there.

8:32: The longer it takes to call Indiana, the worse it is going to be for John McCain.

8:27: Prediction...the networks will call Virginia for Obama before 9:30 PM.

8:05 PM: NBC just called PA for Obama, 2 minutes after the polls closed there. That means big margins there! Bad news for John McCain. His path to the Presidency has narrowed significantly.

8:00 PM: Coming into the election, I went through every county in PA, VA, and FL to project what Obama would need to win those states. I'll be referring to those projections throughout the night.

First benchmark. The only county in VA that has fully reported in King and Queen County. in 2004, Kerry got 45%. I projected that Obama needed to match that (with about 1600 votes). Obama won King and Queen with 52% of the vote and 1900 votes.

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