How did I do? Take a look:
| | Predicted | Actual | Difference |
| McCain | 33% | 36% | +3% |
| Romney | 35% | 31% | -4% |
| Giuliani | 16% | 15% | -1% |
| Huckabee | 12% | 13% | +1% |
| Paul | 4% | 3% | -1% |
Well, aside from predicting the wrong winner (ahem), my percentages were pretty good. Overall, I'd say that these results were a vindication of polling, which really had the race pretty well pegged. Since the polling had Romney and McCain very close to each other, it was difficult to predict the eventual outcome with any certainty.
I do want to note that the final Reuters/Zogby/MSNBC tracking poll called it almost spot on. They had McCain at 35 and Romney at 31.
No comments:
Post a Comment